Precipitation or thunderstorms can happen when the POP is percent, and they can miss you completely or never materialize when the POP is percent. The higher the percentage, the more likely you will get wet, but I still carry my raincoat on a percent PoP day. Jim is the chief meteorologist at mountainweather.
Final Check Arm yourself with the latest weather forecast before you launch on your next outdoor adventure this summer, then keep an eye on the sky to see how well those probabilities are panning out, I guarantee it will be different everyday.
Probability of Precipitation POP. View Gallery Upload Video. Default saved. Close Search Location. Sign In. Cancel Sign In Need an account? Yes, that is a mouthful. The problem is people rarely stay in one spot on the map all day.
So if you travel from home to work, school, the gym, the park, the grocery story or anywhere else you will be increased your chance of seeing rain. For our purposes and as an example we will use a point on the map within 10 miles.
So for every 10 miles you travel you will increase your odds of seeing rain by multiplying the chance of rain at each point. By the way, it is not clear how the newer gridded PoPs affect things, but there are clues in the study's results. Castle Williams, one of the graduate students involved, who has background in geography, atmospheric sciences, and psychology says,. This study, which consisted of faculty, graduate students, and undergraduates continues to make the case that even with a good technical forecast, it is bad if people don't understand or consume it properly.
And most people are getting along fine even when they misunderstand PoP. Williams says. That is, until someone on TikTok comes along and rains on our PoP parade.
Still, both Dr. I asked Dr. Williams why he thought that this PoP conversation was becoming so popular now. He said it was a good hypothesis.
But if the whole mysterious mess is infuriating to you, take a page from my book and ditch the tyranny of the weather app altogether. Dancing in the rain is more fun than coming prepared anyway. Big crowd, open bar, good music and art!
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